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1972
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sabato, novembre 04, 2006
La guerra prossima ventura. Sarà una continuazione di quella precedente, bruscamente interrotta dall'indecisione del governo israeliano e dalla pressione internazionale unilaterale. Almeno questa è l'opinione di John Keegan che vede nel sistema di tunnel sotterranei costruiti da Hezbollah la chiave di volta del conflitto. La tregua si è rivelata quello che ogni osservatore minimamente sensato poteva prevedere: una boccata d'aria fresca per i terroristi e la premessa di una rinnovata minaccia per Israele.
There will soon be another war in the Middle East, this time a renewal of the conflict between the Israel Defence Force (IDF) and Hizbollah. The conflict is inevitable and unavoidable. It will come about because Israel cannot tolerate the rebuilding of Hizbollah's fortified zone in south Lebanon, from which last year it launched its missile bombardment of northern Israel. Hizbollah has now reconstructed the fortified zone and is replenishing its stocks of missiles there. Hamas is also creating a fortified zone in the Gaza Strip and building up its stocks of missiles. Israel, therefore, faces missile attack on two fronts. When the Israel general staff decides the threat has become intolerable, it will strike. It is therefore an easy prediction to foresee that the IDF will – at some time in the near future – reopen its offensive against Hizbollah in south Lebanon and will not cease until it has destroyed the underground system, even if, in the process, it inflicts heavy damage on the towns and villages of the region. |
A Fabio.
A Luisa.   
  Asia e dintorni Normblog |
